Market Update 4.23.11

Last week we suggested the past week would be a down week for the US market. Monday was down 1% but the market rebounded later on in the week. So far we have noticed a that 2011 is similar to 2004. If this similarity is to continue than the next 3-4 weeks will be down weeks.

The model is also signaling to shift out of commodity such as energy and precious metals and go back into select emerging markets such as India, Turkey, Thailand, and Indonesia.

Market Update 4.17.11

Last week we had a good week for Silver, however, our energy related plays did fall for the week. The model did signify to re-balance, so we did take profits before falling further.

This week the short-term indicators have now indicated to get out of energy, Russia, and Canada.

There was confirmation to add India, Indonesia, Turkey, and Thailand back.

The US market is poised for a down week.

The prediction for the US market is a downward trend for the next three months.

Market Update 4.09.11

Last week we mentioned to stay with commodities and markets that are commodity plays as well as high yield investments. The commodities did well this past week. Our energy ETF was up 4.5% for the week. Our silver investment was up 8%. Our Russia ETF was only up .5%. Our REIT investment was down 0.86%. Our high yield corporate investment was up 0.82%. Poland was up 4.37%. While the S&P 500 was slightly down.

Our models are suggesting to stick with the current investment mix. The only new addition is to invest in Indonesia. Otherwise stay with the energy and commodity play along with high yield investments.

We also apply a short-term forecast of the US market. All signs point that that US market will trade down at some point in the near future. The model is signaling this will occur in about four weeks. At that point it may be prudent to raise some cash but stay with some of the commodity and energy plays.

Market Update 4.04.11

Let us review my post two weeks ago. At that juncture the market had fallen 6-7% in the month of March. I said the US market was okay and to not worry about a further pullback. Since then the US market has rebounded back to its highs.

I also noted that Brazil and Easter Europe were breaking out. This last week the Brazil ETF we invest in rose 8%. Not bad for one week. Easter Europe increased 5.5% this past week.

What are the predictions going forward. The are several emerging markets looking good. They include India, Indonesia, and Thailand. I would wait for a small pullback to buy some shares of these markets.

We continue to like commodities and markets that are commodity plays such as Russia and Canada. We like the US and high yield assets such as REITs and High Yield Corporate.

We believe the middle of May will be a good juncture to take some money off the table as the US stock market is poised for a bad month. We will provide more detail when that time comes.